There is not any track in NASCAR like Dover International Speedway. The 1-mile concrete monitor in Delaware has high banks along with several grooves, similar to Bristol’s half-mile design but with high-banked straightaways.
For handicapping functions, Dover is a exceptional track, but outcomes from Bristol should be taken into consideration, in addition to tracks that have used the 750-horsepower, no-aero duct bundle this year (more on this below).
It doesn’t appear to matter where NASCAR races this season, Kyle Busch has been one of those top-3 favorites, and he is the No. 1 power-rated catalyst for oddsmakers. Busch is not just directing the Cup Series in victories (three) this season, but his 10 straight top-10 finishes to begin the year has only been accomplished by four other drivers, rather than because Morgan Shepherd at 1990.
Busch is a whopping 3/1 to win Sunday’s Gander RV 400 (1 p.m. CT, FS1) and hard to fade believing he has 17 top-10s, such as 12 top-5s, in his last 28 series begins at Dover.
Update: The Gander RV 400 was postponed until Monday at 11 a.m. CT on FS1
Chase Elliott, a week’s winner in Talladega, and slumping contender Kyle Larson were the only two drivers to get their futures odds to win the Cup Series championship corrected this week. Both motorists are worth fading from the matchups (listed below), nevertheless.
Elliott is the tougher sell considering he’s the most recent winner at the Monster Mile and contains five top-5 endings in six string races at Dover, but Chevrolet has been very disappointing this year outside of the superspeedways and we love to fade drivers away wins.
Larson, who has not won a race in the Cup level since the 2017 fall race in Richmond, proceeded from 20/1 into 25/1 to win November’s title. Larson opened the season 7/1, but enters this weekend’s race in Dover sitting outside of the playoff standings at 21st. Talladega’s wreck marked the third time in six races Larson has wrecked from a race. Other outcomes throughout this span include a 12th-place showing at Fontana, 18th-place in Martinsville and 19th at Bristol.
Dover rules package, recent results
For the fifth time this season, Cup drivers will race with an engine-producing 750-horsepower and no aero ducts. The four previous races have been Phoenix, Martinsville, Bristol, and Richmond, with Joe Gibbs Racing winning three and Brad Keselowski top 446 of all 500 laps at Martinsville.
Recent Dover winners
2019 fall: Chase Elliott
2018 spring: Kevin Harvick
2017 autumn: Kyle Busch
2017 spring: Jimmie Johnson
2016 autumn: Martin Truex, Jr..
Curious to win Gander RV 400 at Dover
Opening odds Supplied by Westgate SuperBook
Kyle BUSCH 3/1
Kevin HARVICK 4/1
Brad KESELOWSKI 8/1
Martin TRUEX JR 8/1
Joey LOGANO 8/1
Clint BOWYER 12/1
Kurt BUSCH 14/1
Chase ELLIOTT 12/1
Denny HAMLIN 14/1
Aric ALMIROLA 18/1
Ryan BLANEY 20/1
Kyle LARSON 20/1
Erik JONES 25/1
Jimmie JOHNSON 20/1
Daniel SUAREZ 50/1
Austin DILLON 80/1
Ricky STENHOUSE JR 100/1
Ryan NEWMAN 100/1
Alex BOWMAN 100/1
Paul MENARD 100/1
William BYRON 200/1
Matt DIBENEDETTO 200/1
Chris BUESCHER 300/1
Darrell WALLACE JR 300/1
Daniel HEMRIC 300/1
Ryan PREECE 500/1
Ty DILLON 1000/1
Michael McDOWELL 2000/1
David RAGAN 2000/1
FIELD (all others) 1000/1
Notable NASCAR betting matchups in Dover
Opening possibilities Supplied by Westgate SuperBook
Kyle BUSCH -125
Kevin HARVICK +105
Denny HAMLIN -110
Kurt BUSCH -110
Kevin HARVICK -140
Brad KESELOWSKI +120
Kurt BUSCH -110
Chase ELLIOTT -110
Brad KESELOWSKI -110
Joey LOGANO -110
Brad KESELOWSKI -110
Martin TRUEX JR -110
Joey LOGANO -110
Martin TRUEX JR -110
Clint BOWYER -110
Kurt BUSCH -110
NASCAR at Dover stakes to consider Opening odds Supplied by Westgate SuperBook
Hamlin (-110) over Elliott
We said fading Elliott over and also our decide to beat him is Hamlin, who’s enjoying a resurgent season. Hamlin has finished fifth all four races with Sunday’s bundle and has five top-10 endings in the previous six Dover races, including a runner-up past fall.
Truex Jr. (-110) over Keselowski
Truex has five top-10s and four top-5s at the previous six Dover races, leading 387 laps at that moment. Truex also finished second at Phoenix with this bundle and won at Richmond after leading a race-high 186 laps. Even though Keselowski dominated Martinsville, he’s been 19th at Phoenix, 18th in Bristol, and seventh at Richmond.
Daniel Suarez (-110) over Jimmie Johnson
How the mighty have fallen. Seven-time champion Johnson returns to the site of the most recent success, where he is the game’s all-time winningest driver with 11 victories. But Johnson is 16th in the series standings and has fought the last two seasons. Suarez calls Dover his favorite track, and he is averaging a 6.7 finish over four begins. The Mexico native owns the fourth-best average running position among active drivers at Dover and contains the third-most laps in the top 15.

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