There is not any other course in NASCAR like Dover International Speedway. The 1-mile concrete track in Delaware has high banks along with several grooves, similar to Bristol’s half-mile design but with high-banked straightaways.
For handicapping purposes, Dover is a unique monitor, but results from Bristol should be taken into account, in addition to tracks that have used the 750-horsepower, no-aero duct bundle this season (more on this below).
It does not appear to matter where NASCAR races this past season, Kyle Busch has been among those top-3 favorites, also he’s the No. 1 power-rated driver for oddsmakers. Busch is not only leading the Cup Series in victories (three) this season, but his 10 straight top-10 finishes to start the season has just been achieved by four other motorists, rather than because Morgan Shepherd at 1990.
Busch is a whopping 3/1 to win Sunday’s Gander RV 400 (1 p.m. CT, FS1) and tough to fade believing he has 17 top-10s, such as 12 top-5s, in his last 28 series begins at Dover.
Update: The Gander RV 400 was postponed until Monday at 11 a.m. CT on FS1
Chase Elliott, last week’s winner in Talladega, and slumping contender Kyle Larson would be the only two drivers to have their futures odds to win the Cup Series championship corrected this week. Both motorists are worth fading from the matchups (listed below), nevertheless.
Elliott is the tougher sell considering he is the most recent winner in the Monster Mile and has five top-5 finishes in six string races in Dover, but Chevrolet has been very disappointing this season out the superspeedways and we all like to fade drivers away wins.
Larson, who has not won a race in the Cup level because the 2017 fall race at Richmond, proceeded from 20/1 into 25/1 to win November’s title. Larson opened the season 7/1, but enters this weekend’s race at Dover sitting outside of the playoff standings in 21st. Talladega’s crash marked the third time in six races Larson has shattered out of a race. Other results throughout that span include a 12th-place showing at Fontana, 18th-place in Martinsville and 19th in Bristol.
Dover rules bundle, recent results
For the fifth time this season, Cup drivers will race using an engine-producing 750-horsepower and no aero ducts. The four previous races have been Phoenix, Martinsville, Bristol, and Richmond, with Joe Gibbs Racing winning three and Brad Keselowski top 446 of all 500 laps at Martinsville.
Recent Dover winners
2019 autumn: Chase Elliott
2018 spring: Kevin Harvick
2017 fall: Kyle Busch
2017 spring: Jimmie Johnson
2016 autumn: Martin Truex, Jr..
Curious to win Gander RV 400 at Dover
Opening possibilities Supplied by Westgate SuperBook
Kyle BUSCH 3/1
Kevin HARVICK 4/1
Martin TRUEX JR 8/1
Joey LOGANO 8/1
Clint BOWYER 12/1
Kurt BUSCH 14/1
Chase ELLIOTT 12/1
Denny HAMLIN 14/1
Aric ALMIROLA 18/1
Ryan BLANEY 20/1
Kyle LARSON 20/1
Erik JONES 25/1
Jimmie JOHNSON 20/1
Daniel SUAREZ 50/1
Austin DILLON 80/1
Ricky STENHOUSE JR 100/1
Ryan NEWMAN 100/1
Alex BOWMAN 100/1
Paul MENARD 100/1
William BYRON 200/1
Chris BUESCHER 300/1
Darrell WALLACE JR 300/1
Daniel HEMRIC 300/1
Ryan PREECE 500/1
Ty DILLON 1000/1
Michael McDOWELL 2000/1
David RAGAN 2000/1
FIELD (all others) 1000/1
Notable NASCAR betting matchups at Dover
Opening possibilities provided by Westgate SuperBook
Kyle BUSCH -125
Kevin HARVICK +105
Denny HAMLIN -110
Kurt BUSCH -110
Kevin HARVICK -140
Kurt BUSCH -110
Chase ELLIOTT -110
Joey LOGANO -110
Martin TRUEX JR -110
Joey LOGANO -110
Martin TRUEX JR -110
Clint BOWYER -110
Kurt BUSCH -110
NASCAR at Dover stakes to Think about Opening odds provided by Westgate SuperBook
Hamlin (-110) over Elliott
We mentioned fading Elliott above and our pick to beat him is Hamlin, who’s enjoying a resurgent season. Hamlin has finished fifth in all four races with Sunday’s bundle and has five top-10 endings in the previous six Dover races, such as a runner-up last fall.
Truex Jr. (-110) over Keselowski
Truex includes five top-10s and four top-5s in the last six Dover races, leading 387 laps at that time. Truex also finished second at Phoenix on this package and won at Richmond after leading a race-high 186 laps. Even though Keselowski dominated Martinsville, he has been 19th at Phoenix, 18th in Bristol, and seventh at Richmond.
Daniel Suarez (-110) over Jimmie Johnson
How the mighty have fallen. Seven-time winner Johnson returns to the website of the most recent success, where he’s the game’s all-time winningest driver with 11 victories. However, Johnson is 16th in the series standings and has fought the last two seasons. Suarez calls Dover his favorite track, and he’s averaging a 6.7 complete over four begins. The Mexico native possesses the fourth-best average running position among active drivers at Dover and contains the third-most laps in the top 15.

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